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Qual 252014 Arkansas Regional
Red54
500631.1
515321.5
450026.6
Blue113
517822.4
170638.1
193932.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5886010015020025054113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#36
31.10.7
17.3→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.1
1706
#11
38.12.6
30.2→32.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4500
#23
26.60.7
27.4→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.5
1939
#22
32.12.6
41.6→44.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5153
#4
21.50.7
17.6→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
5178
#25
22.42.6
10.0→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—