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Qual 262014 Arkansas Regional
Red140
299249.8
359350.2
519527.1
Blue31
409015.0
378323.0
335018.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9245015020025030014031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#12
50.24.6
29.0→33.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.2
3783
#20
23.01.8
15.9→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2992
#9
49.84.6
33.4→38.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 31.6
3350
#34
18.21.8
26.6→24.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5195
#35
27.14.6
22.3→26.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.1
4090
#37
15.01.8
10.1→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—