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Qual 272014 Arkansas Regional
Red138
366625.4
452259.9
181041.5
Blue37
235912.8
453522.0
4530.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947405015020025013837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#3
59.93.9
36.9→40.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 29.7
45
#13
30.23.3
25.8→22.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1810
#6
41.53.9
38.7→42.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.5
4535
#27
22.03.3
30.8→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3666
#14
25.43.9
15.6→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.7
2359
#39
12.83.3
20.5→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—