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Qual 302014 Arkansas Regional
Red10
31799.8
378323.0
351620.6
Blue6
409241.0
409015.0
322710.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57500100150106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3783
#20
23.03.9
14.1→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.9
4092
#7
41.03.8
32.2→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3516
#15
20.63.9
22.5→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
4090
#37
15.03.8
8.3→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3179
#31
9.83.9
19.7→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
3227
#32
10.13.8
10.9→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—