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Qual 312014 Arkansas Regional
Red40
519527.1
193932.1
399113.0
Blue64
170638.1
515321.5
235217.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90680501502004064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#22
32.13.9
44.2→40.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.0
1706
#11
38.10.6
32.8→32.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5195
#35
27.13.9
26.9→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
5153
#4
21.50.6
16.9→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3991
#33
13.03.9
15.7→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.4
2352
#24
17.40.6
21.5→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—