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Qual 392014 Arkansas Regional
Red210
378323.0
41832.5
1677.9
Blue45
193932.1
233327.1
515321.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017105015020025021045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.99.5
57.3→66.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 45.7
1939
#22
32.12.6
40.3→37.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
418
#26
32.59.5
29.0→38.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
2333
#18
27.12.6
19.2→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3783
#20
23.09.5
10.2→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.5
5153
#4
21.52.6
16.3→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—