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Qual 402014 Arkansas Regional
Red146
378428.9
4530.2
83237.8
Blue31
235912.8
120911.3
525919.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6555020408010012014016014631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#16
37.86.9
23.1→30.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.2
5259
#29
19.62.1
17.1→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
45
#13
30.26.9
20.3→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.4
2359
#39
12.82.1
19.6→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3784
#28
28.96.9
19.8→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.7
1209
#38
11.32.1
19.6→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—