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Red170
237530.5
520013.3
84287.7
Blue22
520717.9
484111.3
507517.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions973005015020025030035017022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#10
87.77.0
45.952.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 69.8
5207
#45
17.91.5
12.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2375
#15
30.54.2
26.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
5075
#32
17.81.5
16.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5200
#28
13.37.0
13.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4841
#38
11.31.5
11.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End