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Qual 172014 Arizona Regional
Red145
414625.5
172656.3
129010.2
Blue22
378526.8
318723.4
357719.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10651015020025030035014522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#11
56.34.0
44.9→48.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 29.6
3785
#17
26.83.2
19.2→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4146
#39
25.54.0
37.6→41.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
3187
#12
23.43.2
26.4→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1290
#46
10.24.0
15.0→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.8
3577
#31
19.03.2
14.3→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—