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Red6
996-5.2
101115.7
244918.5
Blue35
313313.1
129010.2
456513.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340100150200635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2449
#22
18.53.0
13.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
3133
#29
13.10.0
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1011
#20
15.73.0
23.320.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4565
#23
13.00.0
6.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
996
#49
-5.23.0
4.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
1290
#46
10.20.0
20.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End