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Red37
40181.5
247824.6
237530.5
Blue28
33217.7
414625.5
505910.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516101001503728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#15
30.50.8
32.531.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
4146
#39
25.52.6
37.534.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2478
#13
24.61.3
17.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
5059
#19
10.42.6
12.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4018
#48
1.51.3
2.20.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
3321
#36
7.72.6
10.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End