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Qual 482014 Arizona Regional
Red101
49835.2
99121.0
449623.4
Blue121
318723.4
266221.8
418352.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49790100150200101121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#21
35.23.9
26.3→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.7
4183
#8
52.82.3
43.7→46.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4496
#30
23.43.9
18.8→22.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
3187
#12
23.43.9
20.1→24.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
991
#37
21.03.9
8.9→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
2662
#40
21.83.9
10.6→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—