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Qual 492014 Arizona Regional
Red45
33217.7
101115.7
284037.6
Blue126
116533.2
520013.3
172656.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44107015020025045126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2840
#16
37.60.7
25.8→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.7
1726
#11
56.32.4
50.2→52.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1011
#20
15.70.7
20.4→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.6
1165
#2
33.22.4
27.0→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3321
#36
7.70.7
7.7→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.5
5200
#28
13.32.4
19.5→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—