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Red131
418352.8
498516.0
237530.5
Blue38
313313.1
266221.8
163316.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10445015020025013138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.8
48.250.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
2662
#40
21.81.3
23.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2375
#15
30.51.8
30.432.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1633
#27
16.11.3
16.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4985
#18
16.02.8
15.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
3133
#29
13.11.3
14.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End