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Red32
520717.9
244918.5
41265.0
Blue57
101115.7
46299.5
99121.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385401001503257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2449
#22
18.50.7
17.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
991
#37
21.00.5
21.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5207
#45
17.90.7
18.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1011
#20
15.70.4
17.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4126
#47
5.00.7
3.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4629
#42
9.50.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End