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Red185
19577.6
7853.0
176124.0
Blue102
242324.8
349919.0
17242.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17872050100150200250300350185102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
77.61.2
82.783.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.6
172
Unranked
42.00.7
40.040.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
Unranked
53.01.2
51.752.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.1
2423
Unranked
24.80.7
27.728.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1761
Unranked
24.01.2
27.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
3499
Unranked
19.00.7
20.421.1
Auto
Teleop
End