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Qual 342014 BattleCry 15
Red150
328029.2
83932.0
512256.4
Blue107
16634.1
50132.2
395822.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11780050100150200250150107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
Unranked
56.41.9
54.9→56.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.3
166
Unranked
34.11.1
37.1→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
839
Unranked
32.01.9
26.8→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
501
Unranked
32.21.1
33.3→34.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3280
Unranked
29.21.9
29.8→31.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.8
3958
Unranked
22.51.1
15.2→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—