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Red78
71643.6
23823.5
234219.9
Blue150
332329.0
346770.8
8837.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8014505010020025078150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
43.60.6
48.447.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.2
3467
Unranked
70.80.7
69.870.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
238
Unranked
23.50.6
26.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
88
Unranked
37.50.7
38.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2342
Unranked
19.90.6
14.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
3323
Unranked
29.00.7
26.427.1
Auto
Teleop
End