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Red107
17649.0
105840.0
24628.6
Blue117
50132.2
146839.6
71643.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114123050100150200250300107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
49.00.4
49.749.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
716
Unranked
43.60.2
45.645.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
40.00.4
36.636.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1468
Unranked
39.60.2
42.542.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
246
Unranked
28.60.4
28.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
501
Unranked
32.20.2
33.433.2
Auto
Teleop
End