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Red118
112427.0
216866.3
12124.0
Blue116
323626.3
6154.4
7853.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104134050150200250118116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
66.30.4
60.260.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
61
Unranked
54.40.7
53.452.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1124
Unranked
27.00.4
24.625.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.0
78
Unranked
53.00.7
49.749.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
121
Unranked
24.00.4
24.324.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3236
Unranked
26.30.7
26.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End