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Red106
173537.8
404859.4
17242.0
Blue148
6154.4
146839.6
8837.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148135050100200250300106148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
Unranked
59.42.0
58.856.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
61
Unranked
54.40.5
55.656.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
Unranked
42.02.0
42.340.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1468
Unranked
39.60.6
41.642.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1735
Unranked
37.82.0
44.742.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
88
Unranked
37.50.5
40.040.6
Auto
Teleop
End