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Red79
19577.6
46721.2
13152.9
Blue95
17579.5
512256.4
105840.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197920501502503003507995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
77.65.1
91.686.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
5122
Unranked
56.40.6
54.854.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
52.95.1
55.450.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1058
Unranked
40.00.6
35.634.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
Unranked
21.25.1
34.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1757
Unranked
9.50.6
17.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End