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Red150
352550.0
112427.0
22848.2
Blue49
83932.0
146839.6
147413.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318705015020025030015049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
Unranked
50.01.3
48.149.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1468
Unranked
39.62.2
41.639.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
48.21.3
49.851.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
839
Unranked
32.02.2
33.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1124
Unranked
27.01.3
26.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1474
Unranked
13.52.2
18.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End