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Red115
349919.0
216866.3
105840.0
Blue121
19047.4
17649.0
332329.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119129050100150200250300350115121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
66.30.3
62.161.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
176
Unranked
49.00.3
47.947.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
40.00.3
40.239.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
190
Unranked
47.40.3
50.450.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3499
Unranked
19.00.3
18.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
3323
Unranked
29.00.3
29.429.0
Auto
Teleop
End