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Red133
151960.9
107334.8
176828.3
Blue97
19553.3
287750.3
105842.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109162020030040013397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
60.90.8
59.560.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
195
Unranked
53.32.8
58.155.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
34.80.8
31.732.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
2877
Unranked
50.32.8
56.053.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1768
Unranked
28.30.8
25.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
1058
Unranked
42.92.8
39.736.9
Auto
Teleop
End