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Red59
107121.5
447338.1
346130.5
Blue110
17546.4
264814.9
12571.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913705010020025030035059110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
Unranked
38.11.5
33.231.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.9
125
Unranked
71.00.9
73.872.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3461
Unranked
30.51.5
29.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
175
Unranked
46.40.9
39.638.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
Unranked
21.51.5
25.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2648
Unranked
14.90.9
14.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End