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Red132
168717.1
105842.9
17230.5
Blue89
242311.3
151960.9
19655.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807805010015013289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
42.92.6
36.939.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
1519
Unranked
60.90.5
60.360.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
Unranked
30.52.6
30.433.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
2423
Unranked
11.30.5
14.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
Unranked
17.12.6
12.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1965
Unranked
5.10.5
4.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End