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Red141
110030.6
83934.3
176828.3
Blue87
346130.5
404845.5
168717.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778605015020025030014187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
Unranked
34.33.1
29.532.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
4048
Unranked
45.50.1
40.740.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
Unranked
30.63.1
22.825.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3461
Unranked
30.50.1
28.828.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1768
Unranked
28.33.1
25.929.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1687
Unranked
17.10.1
15.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End