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Red68
8826.5
264814.9
287750.3
Blue96
151148.5
7844.8
242311.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931050501502002503003504006896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
Unranked
50.31.3
53.452.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1511
Unranked
48.50.4
44.243.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
Unranked
26.51.3
29.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
78
Unranked
44.80.4
44.744.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2648
Unranked
14.91.3
11.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2423
Unranked
11.30.4
14.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End