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Red192
263741.0
510228.5
69656.5
Blue150
491328.6
20737.4
330952.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711450100150200250192150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#14
56.51.1
56.257.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
52.50.8
51.852.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.01.1
40.641.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
207
#23
37.40.7
36.737.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5102
#36
28.51.1
28.129.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4913
#16
28.60.8
27.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End