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Red163
420149.0
116012.1
397049.4
Blue216
171763.4
512428.1
29457.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101147050200250163216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.9
48.549.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
63.41.6
59.961.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.00.9
48.149.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
294
#3
57.81.3
54.956.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1160
#46
12.10.9
11.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
5124
#12
28.11.6
24.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End