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Red18
166119.7
8488.5
399338.4
Blue72
312018.9
512428.1
386319.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384901001502002501872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3993
#22
38.41.8
18.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
5124
#12
28.12.0
15.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1661
#42
19.71.8
12.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3863
#60
19.22.0
11.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
848
#59
8.51.8
9.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
3120
#18
18.91.2
21.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End