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Red51
114813.7
263741.0
441530.7
Blue12
496412.3
240415.5
98815.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745101001502002505112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.0
37.636.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
988
#56
15.53.5
16.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4415
#13
30.71.6
14.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
2404
#57
15.53.5
20.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1148
#64
13.71.0
17.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4964
#37
12.33.5
17.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End