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Red43
450149.2
175915.9
169222.0
Blue65
441530.7
145227.3
375912.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66270501001502004365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
#28
49.21.4
26.324.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
4415
#13
30.72.7
15.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1692
#11
22.01.4
15.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1452
#20
27.32.7
14.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1759
#41
15.91.4
17.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3759
#47
12.72.7
3.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End