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Red150
97358.3
183621.5
499727.3
Blue43
70223.1
441324.1
114813.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9347015020025015043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
58.33.2
41.044.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.2
4413
#29
24.10.6
18.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4997
#27
27.35.4
19.124.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
702
#40
23.10.6
19.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1836
#26
21.53.2
25.428.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1148
#64
13.70.6
16.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End