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Red12
51005.0
283918.3
392522.6
Blue145
347329.9
196729.6
501216.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5462020408010012014016012145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#29
22.63.3
30.327.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
3473
#16
29.96.5
22.128.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2839
#25
18.33.3
16.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
1967
#19
29.66.5
22.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5100
#36
5.03.3
8.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
5012
#20
16.96.5
16.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End