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Red44
242911.1
352113.6
441318.3
Blue16
51215.3
414411.2
413910.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413401001502004416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4413
#30
18.30.3
15.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
4144
#37
11.21.5
9.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3521
#32
13.60.3
16.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4139
#27
10.81.5
15.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2429
#33
11.10.3
8.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
5121
#23
5.31.5
10.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End