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Red50
249312.6
420130.5
405612.7
Blue26
329510.6
449926.0
45563.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060801005026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#10
30.50.7
14.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4499
#15
26.01.3
25.223.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4056
#35
12.70.7
17.318.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3295
#40
10.61.3
8.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
12.60.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
4556
#38
3.81.3
8.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End