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Red5
196729.6
298414.3
45563.8
Blue10
237526.8
51215.3
24967.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65460100150200510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#19
29.64.8
21.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
26.83.3
15.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2984
#39
14.34.8
34.029.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
2496
#26
7.03.3
19.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4556
#38
3.84.8
6.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
5121
#23
5.35.5
5.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End