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Red70
11607.2
29445.0
392522.6
Blue142
347329.9
182841.2
411418.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5557020408010012014070142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#3
45.01.2
25.226.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
41.27.2
28.135.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3925
#29
22.61.2
19.320.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
3473
#16
29.97.2
16.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1160
#24
7.21.2
11.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
4114
#18
18.97.2
11.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End