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Red20
432237.1
414411.2
441318.3
Blue42
233925.7
405612.7
39956.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457701001502002042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#21
37.12.5
24.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
399
#2
56.12.5
37.735.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4413
#30
18.32.5
12.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
25.72.5
19.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4144
#37
11.22.5
12.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4056
#35
12.72.5
13.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End