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Red52
210218.2
265831.1
301112.9
Blue121
60443.6
33050.3
519918.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60113010015020025052121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#24
31.11.0
34.733.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
330
#6
50.31.0
46.647.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2102
#37
18.21.0
19.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
604
#8
43.61.0
40.941.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3011
#56
12.91.0
13.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
5199
#17
18.21.0
17.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End