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Red52
58932.2
479216.4
332820.7
Blue75
298420.2
513720.1
461616.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784801001502002505275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#25
32.21.3
33.532.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
2984
#44
20.21.1
19.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3328
#46
20.71.3
22.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
5137
#23
20.11.3
18.820.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4792
#32
16.41.3
17.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4616
#38
16.51.3
15.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End