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Red80
81252.2
302113.8
300953.1
Blue47
458319.6
364720.1
157219.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024201502002503008047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.0
45.344.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.0
3647
#36
20.10.4
20.219.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
812
#7
52.21.0
30.329.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.6
4583
#41
19.60.4
15.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3021
#19
13.81.0
16.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1572
#33
19.10.4
16.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End