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Red12
301112.9
162217.7
416014.0
Blue86
396717.6
370422.6
210218.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564001001501286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#42
17.73.4
20.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
3704
#30
22.63.6
23.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4160
#59
14.03.4
21.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2102
#37
18.23.6
10.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3011
#56
12.93.4
10.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
3967
#18
17.63.6
7.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End