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Red55
265831.1
56822.6
502525.4
Blue12
219314.7
395213.8
384910.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514001001502002505512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#24
31.10.5
18.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
2193
#16
14.72.5
15.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5025
#12
25.40.5
9.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3952
#54
13.82.5
13.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
568
#20
22.60.5
21.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
3849
#51
10.12.5
13.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End