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Red95
349127.5
40198.9
347670.6
Blue47
498420.2
413923.6
298420.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974901502002503009547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.4
57.958.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.0
4139
#21
23.60.5
18.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3491
#10
27.50.4
20.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
2984
#44
20.20.5
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4019
#53
8.90.4
11.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
4984
#29
20.20.8
24.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End