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Red125
153872.7
519918.2
384910.1
Blue12
396717.6
374912.6
416014.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943105015020012512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.73.4
57.260.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 55.1
3967
#18
17.62.4
11.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5199
#17
18.23.4
16.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4160
#59
14.02.4
18.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3849
#51
10.13.4
10.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
3749
#57
12.62.4
10.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End