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Red11
33418.9
498420.2
197212.7
Blue22
33150.8
479216.4
364720.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523702060801001201401601122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#29
20.23.2
24.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3647
#36
20.11.5
19.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1972
#40
12.73.2
17.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4792
#32
16.41.5
17.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3341
#58
8.93.2
8.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3315
#55
0.81.5
2.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End