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Red115
285417.6
36883.5
67044.3
Blue118
281321.0
128037.2
135130.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16966050100150200250300115118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#16
83.51.9
86.584.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 46.3
37.21.8
34.936.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
670
#13
44.31.9
46.544.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1351
#18
30.01.8
28.130.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2854
#51
17.62.3
20.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2813
#20
21.02.2
18.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End